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Game Outcome Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
2,172
Graded
1,609

74% settled

Average accuracy
59.2

out of 100

Pundits
232

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
943 scored 80+653 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

1,609 / 2,172

graded

563 still pending

By season

  • 20232 of 2 graded
  • 2024133 of 133 graded
  • 2025935 of 949 graded
  • 2026539 of 1088 graded

Who is good at game outcome picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every game outcome picks take

1201–1225 of 2,172

  • Miss · 0Pushing the Pile (podcast)Game Outcome Picks2025 season

    Buffalo Bills to beat Broncos

    So I do think the Bills win this game. / I think so too, actually. And I think it's tight, and I think it's low scoring.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100-100 skillsaid Jan 15, 2026
  • Miss · 0Pushing the Pile (podcast)Game Outcome Picks2025 season

    Houston Texans to beat Patriots

    I'm picking the Texas to win now. I think this defense is too good, and I think they are going to have a game plan that is run heavy

    Houston Texans

    a naive guess scored 100-100 skillsaid Jan 15, 2026
  • Miss · 0JP AcostaGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Buffalo Bills to beat Broncos

    I worry that the Broncos will try but can't, and that puts Bo Nix into a lot of unfavorable situations. So I do think the Bills win this game.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100-100 skillsaid Jan 15, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100JP AcostaGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    New England Patriots to beat Texans

    I sort of feel like the patriots win. Like, I I feel like the patriots win a close one.

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Jan 15, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Pushing the Pile (podcast)Game Outcome Picks2025 season

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Chicago Bears

    So for all those reasons, I'm going Rams and I'm going over.

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+100 skillsaid Jan 15, 2026
  • Hit · 100JP AcostaGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Bears

    I'm also gonna go Rams. I do think this game is gonna be close.

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+100 skillsaid Jan 15, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Manti Te'oGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    San Francisco 49ers to beat Seattle Seahawks

    maybe even the scales might tip another way because the San Francisco fort Niners Michi played pretty dang good at Seattle.

    San Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 100-100 skillsaid Jan 14, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Mike GarafoloGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Denver Broncos to beat Bills

    So shock the world number one seed, Broncos go. I don't know that it's gonna happen.

    Denver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Jan 14, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Cam JordanGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Bears

    So Jared Verse, dude, man, you got Kobe Turner in the middle... I got the Rams.

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+100 skillsaid Jan 14, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Champ BaileyGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Seattle Seahawks to beat forty nine ers

    I'm gonna tell you I said, I like the Seahawks... They gotta go on the road to Seattle, and that defense is another monster.

    Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Jan 14, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Champ BaileyGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Denver Broncos to beat Bills

    here's this monster of the Denver Broncos, this defense. There is no way that he's looking forward to this one... So I know, I know they're ready for him this year... Broncos got it, yep

    Denver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Jan 14, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Champ BaileyGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Bears

    Now, I do not I do not see the Bears winning this game.

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+100 skillsaid Jan 14, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Pat GustavsonGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    New England Patriots to beat Texans

    I do think it'll be a close game. I do like the Patriots here.

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Jan 13, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Brandon CarneyGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Bears

    I'll I'm going with the Rams because they are my Super Bowl pick.

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+100 skillsaid Jan 13, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat GustavsonGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Chicago Bears to beat Rams

    You're going Bears down. Bear down. I love I love this team, man. Bear fucking down.

    Chicago Bears

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jan 13, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Brandon CarneyGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Denver Broncos to beat Bills

    I am gonna stick with the Broncos here. I'm gonna go with Denver at home.

    Denver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Jan 13, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat GustavsonGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Buffalo Bills to beat Broncos

    I like the Bills here.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100-100 skillsaid Jan 13, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Brandon CarneyGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Seattle Seahawks to beat 49ers

    So we will see how that one plays out, but I certainly have Seattle as well.

    Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Jan 13, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Pat GustavsonGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Seattle Seahawks to beat 49ers

    I I like Seattle too... But probably take Seattle here.

    Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Jan 13, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Brandon CarneyGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    New England Patriots to beat Texans

    Texans at Patriots... Who you got? I'm taking the patriots.

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Jan 13, 2026the article →
  • PendingNick WrightGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Chicago Bears to beat Green Bay

    I think the Bears are better, the Bears are home, the Bears are healthier... I'll take Chicago plus one.

    Chicago Bears

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jan 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingNick WrightGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Chicago Bears to beat Green Bay

    but yeah, I took Chicago there too.

    Chicago Bears

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jan 11, 2026the article →
  • PendingNick WrightGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Carolina

    I will swallow this huge number and lay the ten and a half with the Rams.

    Los Angeles Rams

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jan 11, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    New England Patriots to beat Chargers

    I think the Pats win, but I think the Pats win by three. I'll take the four points.

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Jan 11, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Houston

    I think Steelers are gonna win... So I'll take Pittsburgh plus the three.

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Jan 11, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — game outcome picks (1949 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.