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Game Outcome Picks

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
2,172
Graded
1,609

74% settled

Average accuracy
59.2

out of 100

Pundits
232

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
943 scored 80+653 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

1,609 / 2,172

graded

563 still pending

By season

  • 20232 of 2 graded
  • 2024133 of 133 graded
  • 2025935 of 949 graded
  • 2026539 of 1088 graded

Who is good at game outcome picks

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every game outcome picks take

1176–1200 of 2,172

  • Hit · 100Pat McAfeeGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Bears

    I'll take the Bears plus four and a half. That doesn't mean they're gonna win, I don't think. I think the Rams put a close one.

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+100 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100AJ HawkGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Los Angeles Rams to beat bears

    I'm gonna take the, Los Angeles Rams... I'll take them at minus four and a half on the road... So give me the Rams.

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+100 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Pat McAfeeGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Buffalo Bills to beat Broncos

    Am I gonna do the same thing yes as prompt us? Give me the bills. I'll take the bills.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100-100 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0AJ HawkGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Buffalo Bills to beat Broncos

    I am sticking with my Buffalo Bills right here. And Josh Allen, I think he finds a way to to get it done... but the Bills get it done.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100-100 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Jeff CavanaughGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Denver Broncos to beat Buffalo

    it was so hard for me to pull the trigger on Bo Nicks over Josh Allen... But, eventually, I settled on, yes. I will take Denver.

    Denver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Jeff CavanaughGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Seattle Seahawks to beat niners

    niners at Seahawks is tomorrow night, and I picked the Seahawks because I think the niners are beat up... And so I took Seattle.

    Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Clarence HillGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Buffalo Bills to beat Denver

    Oh, you picked Buffalo. I did pick Buffalo. Because I picked Buffalo. I picked a better quarterback.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100-100 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Jeff CavanaughGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Houston Texans to beat Patriots

    Texans at Patriots. I took the Texans, but that may be recency bias... But I'm taking the Texans' defense to beat... The Patriots.

    Houston Texans

    a naive guess scored 100-100 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Jesse HolleyGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    San Francisco 49ers to beat Seattle

    the clock is going to strike twelve... he's going to do what he normally does in the playoffs... And I think that's going to help the niners. They're gonna capitalize on that defensively.

    San Francisco 49ers

    a naive guess scored 100-100 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Jesse HolleyGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Bears

    I'll take Stafford over there. And and for all those who are saying, the weather, the weather, the weather... They'll be fine.

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+100 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Jesse HolleyGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Houston Texans to beat Patriots

    I cannot believe you sold out Drake May... That's how you know I'm objective... We both took Texans.

    Houston Texans

    a naive guess scored 100-100 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Jeff CavanaughGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Bears

    Final playoff game of the weekend will be Sunday evening with your, Rams at Bears... On this one, I did take the quarterback

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+100 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Clarence HillGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Seattle Seahawks to beat forty niners

    I picked Seattle... So I think that that the Seattle defense... They're gonna get some turnovers from the Fortnite as quarterback.

    Seattle Seahawks

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Clarence HillGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    New England Patriots to beat Texans

    Took New England. I drew I took the better quarterback.

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Cynthia FrelundGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Bears

    I think this week, in freezing cold conditions, they pull through and they win by more than four points, and that's the rams

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+100 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Cynthia FrelundGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Denver Broncos to beat Bills

    Picking Denver in the home upset against the Bills... I think that the Broncos in this one, I think that they win, and I think they win by more than one point.

    Denver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Gregg RosenthalGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Buffalo Bills to beat Broncos

    So because of that, I'm gonna I will go against you and we'll just take the Bills as one of my picks.

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100-100 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Gregg RosenthalGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Bears

    So I'm going Rams minus three and a half. We both were off on them last week... I think the Rams are a little more equipped to stop the run.

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+100 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Cynthia FrelundGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    New England Patriots to beat Texans

    I have the Texans by two, so technically I have the Patriot Sorry, the Patriots by two, so the Texans technically on the right side of that.

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Colin CowherdGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Buffalo Bills to beat Denver Broncos

    Okay, I'm rolling with the Buffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills

    a naive guess scored 100-100 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Richard ShermanGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Denver Broncos to beat Buffalo Bills

    So I gotta go with the Denver Broncos... got the Denver Broncos sneaking by with a win.

    Denver Broncos

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Colin CowherdGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Chicago Bears

    I think the luck is eventually going to run out for Chicago, and I think it's going to happen this weekend.

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+100 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Colin CowherdGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    New England Patriots to beat Houston Texans

    I think the Pats are gonna take care of business. I think it's Drake May's time.

    New England Patriots

    a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Jan 16, 2026the article →
  • Miss · 0Jason McIntyreGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Houston Texans to beat Patriots

    I like the Texas to win this out right.

    Houston Texans

    a naive guess scored 100-100 skillsaid Jan 15, 2026the article →
  • Hit · 100Jason McIntyreGame Outcome Picks2025 season

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Bears

    old man Matthew Stafford delivers... I don't see the Rams blowing this.

    Los Angeles Rams

    a naive guess scored 0+100 skillsaid Jan 15, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — game outcome picks (1949 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.