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NFL / Season Win Totals

NFL season win totals

Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →

Takes logged: 934
Graded: 269
Average accuracy: 49.2
Pundits: 139

How these land

Every graded call of this kind, by score.

Takes in each band

86 scored 80+91 under 40

Settled or waiting

269 / 934

graded

665 still pending

The field, on one line

Every pundit's win-total call for a team, as dots, against the season's actual number — the dark bar. A tight cluster far from the bar is the whole industry missing together; the lone dot near the bar is somebody who left the herd and was right. Click a dot to read the take it came from.

SF 202513 callsactual: 12 wins

Everyone was wrong about…

The field's average call against what happened. Green means the team beat punditry's number — underrated; red means the field bought a story the season didn't.

KC 202513 calls-6.3 wins vs the field
NE 202511 calls+5 wins vs the field
SEA 20257 calls+5 wins vs the field
DEN 20256 calls+5 wins vs the field

Teams involved

New England Patriots54 takes
Dallas Cowboys43 takes
Minnesota Vikings

Who is good at this

MissedTakes score for this kind only. Zero means no better than guessing.

Andrew Santino100 accuracy · 1 graded+160.7
Cynthia Frelund80 accuracy · 1 graded+150.0
Nick Shook

By publisher

Move the Sticks (podcast)86.7 · 3 graded
The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)40.6 · 18 graded

Every NFL season win totals take

51–75 of 934

SearchVerdictSeasonSort

0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it

NYG 202513 callsactual: 4 wins

KC 202513 callsactual: 6 wins

CHI 202512 callsactual: 11 wins

DET 202512 callsactual: 9 wins

NE 202511 callsactual: 14 wins

PIT 202511 callsactual: 10 wins

MIN 202510 callsactual: 9 wins

JAX 202510 callsactual: 13 wins

TB 202510 callsactual: 8 wins

LV 20259 callsactual: 3 wins

DAL 20258 callsactual: 7 wins

0 wins17 wins

WAS 20257 calls-4.8 wins vs the field

LV 20259 calls-4.5 wins vs the field

JAX 202510 calls+4 wins vs the field

CIN 20257 calls-3.9 wins vs the field

NYJ 20256 calls-3.8 wins vs the field

BAL 20256 calls-3.5 wins vs the field

TEN 20253 calls-3 wins vs the field

TB 202510 calls-2.8 wins vs the field

37 takes

Chicago Bears36 takes

Pittsburgh Steelers35 takes

New York Giants35 takes

Detroit Lions34 takes

Denver Broncos34 takes

100 accuracy · 1 graded

+90.0

Richard Sherman70 accuracy · 4 graded+55.0

Josh Pate100 accuracy · 1 graded+50.0

John Middlekauff52 accuracy · 14 graded+43.6

Jason McIntyre73 accuracy · 5 graded+38.8

Kyle Brandt100 accuracy · 1 graded+30.0

Colin Cowherd43 accuracy · 22 graded+21.9

Geoff Schwartz40 accuracy · 2 graded+15.0

Gregg Rosenthal49 accuracy · 18 graded+8.0

Chris Brockman30 accuracy · 19 graded+6.6

Danny Parkins61 accuracy · 17 graded+5.9

Damonza Byrd30 accuracy · 3 graded+5.0

Aaron Schatz42 accuracy · 7 graded+2.6

Ryan Reynolds68 accuracy · 33 graded+1.3

Brady Quinn49 accuracy · 32 graded+0.3

Rich Eisen35 accuracy · 18 graded-2.5

Marcus Mosher56 accuracy · 5 graded-4.5

Isaiah Stanback80 accuracy · 1 graded-7.8

Rich Davis80 accuracy · 1 graded-10.0

Seth Rollins80 accuracy · 1 graded-10.0

Nick Wright44 accuracy · 50 graded-10.4

JP Acosta40 accuracy · 1 graded-25.0

Mitchell Eisenstein40 accuracy · 2 graded-50.0

Keith Sanchez40 accuracy · 1 graded-50.0

Dylan O'Brien0 accuracy · 1 graded-50.0

LaVar Arrington40 accuracy · 1 graded-66.2

Dan Patrick20 accuracy · 1 graded-100.7

TJ Jefferson0 accuracy · 1 graded-170.0

The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)

53.1 · 91 graded

Around the NFL (podcast)51.6 · 36 graded

The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)28.2 · 20 graded

The 33rd Team60.5 · 38 graded

Overreaction Monday (podcast)36.2 · 22 graded

2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)45.9 · 37 graded

Pushing the Pile (podcast)40.0 · 1 graded

The Draft Network40.0 · 1 graded

The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)50.0 · 2 graded

PendingJohn BreechSeason Win Totals

Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins

I have both of them finishing 11-6

Buffalo Bills

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingJohn BreechSeason Win Totals

Houston Texans to finish with 11 wins

I have both of them finishing 11-6

Houston Texans

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingPete PriscoSeason Win Totals

Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with ? wins

I just think the Jaguars, who won 13 games last year, will be a better team this time around.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingJohn MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

Philadelphia Eagles to finish with ? wins

So to me, they're probably 9-10 wins because I think their defense is going to be so awesome.

Philadelphia Eagles

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingJohn MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals

New Orleans Saints to finish with 10 wins

I think the Saints, you're looking at 10-plus wins.

New Orleans Saints

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingMatty LaneSeason Win Totals

Houston Texans to finish with 13 wins

that defense is gonna do more than enough for them to win 13 games

Houston Texans

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingDavid HarrisonSeason Win Totals

Washington Commanders to finish with 10 wins

Washington commanders are gonna finish ten and seven, and they're gonna make the playoffs.

Washington Commanders

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026the article →

PendingJoe MarinoSeason Win Totals

Buffalo Bills to finish with 12 wins

I had the Bills going twelve and five and winning the AFC East, and so let's see if they can pull that out.

Buffalo Bills