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NFL Win Total Predictions 2026, Graded | MissedTakes

NFL / Season Win Totals

NFL season win totals

Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →

Takes logged: 937
Graded: 269
Average accuracy: 49.2
Pundits: 139

How these land

Every graded call of this kind, by score.

Takes in each band

86 scored 80+91 under 40

Settled or waiting

269 / 937

graded

668 still pending

The field, on one line

Every pundit's win-total call for a team, as dots, against the season's actual number — the dark bar. A tight cluster far from the bar is the whole industry missing together; the lone dot near the bar is somebody who left the herd and was right. Click a dot to read the take it came from.

SF 202513 callsactual: 12 wins

Everyone was wrong about…

The field's average call against what happened. Green means the team beat punditry's number — underrated; red means the field bought a story the season didn't.

KC 202513 calls-6.3 wins vs the field
NE 202511 calls+5 wins vs the field
SEA 20257 calls+5 wins vs the field
DEN 20256 calls+5 wins vs the field

Teams involved

New England Patriots54 takes
Dallas Cowboys43 takes
Minnesota Vikings

Who is good at this

MissedTakes score for this kind only. Zero means no better than guessing.

Andrew Santino100 accuracy · 1 graded+160.7
Cynthia Frelund80 accuracy · 1 graded+150.0
Nick Shook

By publisher

Move the Sticks (podcast)86.7 · 3 graded
The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)40.6 · 18 graded

Every NFL season win totals take

901–925 of 937

SearchVerdictSeasonSort

0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it

NYG 202513 callsactual: 4 wins

KC 202513 callsactual: 6 wins

CHI 202512 callsactual: 11 wins

DET 202512 callsactual: 9 wins

NE 202511 callsactual: 14 wins

PIT 202511 callsactual: 10 wins

MIN 202510 callsactual: 9 wins

JAX 202510 callsactual: 13 wins

TB 202510 callsactual: 8 wins

LV 20259 callsactual: 3 wins

DAL 20258 callsactual: 7 wins

0 wins17 wins

WAS 20257 calls-4.8 wins vs the field

LV 20259 calls-4.5 wins vs the field

JAX 202510 calls+4 wins vs the field

CIN 20257 calls-3.9 wins vs the field

NYJ 20256 calls-3.8 wins vs the field

BAL 20256 calls-3.5 wins vs the field

TEN 20253 calls-3 wins vs the field

TB 202510 calls-2.8 wins vs the field

37 takes

Chicago Bears36 takes

Pittsburgh Steelers35 takes

New York Giants35 takes

Detroit Lions34 takes

Denver Broncos34 takes

100 accuracy · 1 graded

+90.0

Richard Sherman70 accuracy · 4 graded+55.0

Josh Pate100 accuracy · 1 graded+50.0

John Middlekauff52 accuracy · 14 graded+43.6

Jason McIntyre73 accuracy · 5 graded+38.8

Kyle Brandt100 accuracy · 1 graded+30.0

Colin Cowherd43 accuracy · 22 graded+21.9

Geoff Schwartz40 accuracy · 2 graded+15.0

Gregg Rosenthal49 accuracy · 18 graded+8.0

Chris Brockman30 accuracy · 19 graded+6.6

Danny Parkins61 accuracy · 17 graded+5.9

Damonza Byrd30 accuracy · 3 graded+5.0

Aaron Schatz42 accuracy · 7 graded+2.6

Ryan Reynolds68 accuracy · 33 graded+1.3

Brady Quinn49 accuracy · 32 graded+0.3

Rich Eisen35 accuracy · 18 graded-2.5

Marcus Mosher56 accuracy · 5 graded-4.5

Isaiah Stanback80 accuracy · 1 graded-7.8

Rich Davis80 accuracy · 1 graded-10.0

Seth Rollins80 accuracy · 1 graded-10.0

Nick Wright44 accuracy · 50 graded-10.4

JP Acosta40 accuracy · 1 graded-25.0

Mitchell Eisenstein40 accuracy · 2 graded-50.0

Keith Sanchez40 accuracy · 1 graded-50.0

Dylan O'Brien0 accuracy · 1 graded-50.0

LaVar Arrington40 accuracy · 1 graded-66.2

Dan Patrick20 accuracy · 1 graded-100.7

TJ Jefferson0 accuracy · 1 graded-170.0

The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)

53.1 · 91 graded

Around the NFL (podcast)51.6 · 36 graded

The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)28.2 · 20 graded

The 33rd Team60.5 · 38 graded

Overreaction Monday (podcast)36.2 · 22 graded

2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)45.9 · 37 graded

Pushing the Pile (podcast)40.0 · 1 graded

The Draft Network40.0 · 1 graded

The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)50.0 · 2 graded

Hit · 100Marcus MosherSeason Win Totals

Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 10 wins

the improved offensive line should allow them to hover around 10 wins once again

Pittsburgh Steelers

a naive guess scored 85+30 skillsaid Aug 5, 2024the article →

Hit · 80Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

New Orleans Saints to finish with 10 wins

Given their league-easiest schedule, the Saints can finish with double-digit wins if they finish more drives while playing effective defense.

New Orleans Saints

a naive guess scored 75+9.7 skillsaid Sep 12, 2023the article →

PendingRyan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

Los Angeles Chargers to finish with ? wins

Los Angeles is still well-positioned to start 3-1.

Los Angeles Chargers

Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 12, 2023the article →

Miss · 0Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

Los Angeles Rams to finish with 4 wins

Los Angeles Rams: 4-13

Los Angeles Rams

a naive guess scored 35-70 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

Close · 60Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 11 wins

Cincinnati Bengals: 11-6

Cincinnati Bengals

a naive guess scored 75-30 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

Hit · 100Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

San Francisco 49ers to finish with 12 wins

San Francisco 49ers: 12-5

San Francisco 49ers

a naive guess scored 75+50 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

Close · 60Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

Arizona Cardinals to finish with 2 wins

Arizona Cardinals: 2-15

Arizona Cardinals

a naive guess scored 55+10 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

Close · 60Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

Atlanta Falcons to finish with 9 wins

Atlanta Falcons: 9-8

Atlanta Falcons

a naive guess scored 85-50 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

Close · 60Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

Seattle Seahawks to finish with 11 wins

Seattle Seahawks: 11-6

Seattle Seahawks

a naive guess scored 95-70 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

Miss · 0Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 11 wins

Los Angeles Chargers: 11-6

Los Angeles Chargers

a naive guess scored 15-30 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

Close · 60Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

New York Giants to finish with 8 wins

New York Giants: 8-9

New York Giants

a naive guess scored 45+30 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

Hit · 80Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

Tennessee Titans to finish with 7 wins

Tennessee Titans: 7-10

Tennessee Titans

a naive guess scored 65+30 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

Close · 60Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

New Orleans Saints to finish with 11 wins

New Orleans Saints: 11-6

New Orleans Saints

a naive guess scored 75-30 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

Hit · 80Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

Minnesota Vikings to finish with 8 wins

Minnesota Vikings: 8-9

Minnesota Vikings

a naive guess scored 25+110 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

Miss · 20Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

Carolina Panthers to finish with 6 wins

Carolina Panthers: 6-11

Carolina Panthers

a naive guess scored 0+40 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

Miss · 0Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

Indianapolis Colts to finish with 4 wins

Indianapolis Colts: 4-13

Indianapolis Colts

a naive guess scored 45-90 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

Close · 40Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

New England Patriots to finish with 7 wins

New England Patriots: 7-10

New England Patriots

a naive guess scored 15+50 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

Miss · 20Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 4 wins

Las Vegas Raiders: 4-13

Las Vegas Raiders

a naive guess scored 85-130 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

Close · 60Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

Detroit Lions to finish with 10 wins

Detroit Lions: 10-7

Detroit Lions

a naive guess scored 35+50 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

Close · 60Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

Washington Commanders to finish with 6 wins

Washington Commanders: 6-11

Washington Commanders

a naive guess scored 15+90 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

Hit · 100Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

Philadelphia Eagles to finish with 11 wins

Philadelphia Eagles: 11-6

Philadelphia Eagles

a naive guess scored 95+10 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

Hit · 80Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

Miami Dolphins to finish with 10 wins

Miami Dolphins: 10-7

Miami Dolphins

a naive guess scored 55+50 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

Hit · 100Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

Dallas Cowboys to finish with 12 wins

Dallas Cowboys: 12-5

Dallas Cowboys

a naive guess scored 65+70 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

Hit · 80Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 12 wins

Kansas City Chiefs: 12-5

Kansas City Chiefs

a naive guess scored 95-30 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

Hit · 100Ryan ReynoldsSeason Win Totals

Denver Broncos to finish with 8 wins

Denver Broncos: 8-9

Denver Broncos

a naive guess scored 75+50 skillsaid Sep 5, 2023the article →

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